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IJSTR >> Volume 9 - Issue 2, February 2020 Edition

International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research  
International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research

Website: http://www.ijstr.org

ISSN 2277-8616

Forecasting Tourist Arrival To Bali-Indonesia From 3 Continents Using Thief-MLP Hybrid Method

[Full Text]



Kadek Jemmy Waciko, Ismail, B.



Thief-MLP Hybrid; Thief-ELM Hybrid; TBATS; Theta; MAPE; MASE.



In this study, four different method namely Thief-MLP Hybrid, Thief-ELM Hybrid, TBATS and Theta methods are adopted and compared for forecasting tourist arrival to Bali-Indonesia from 3 different continents such as the Australia continent, Europe continent, and Asia continent. To evaluate performance of different methods, the criteria like the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and The Mean Absolute Scaled Error (MASE) are used. This study demonstrates that Thief-MLP Hybrid method outperforms Thief-ELM Hybrid, TBATS and Theta methods. Thus, we can produce short-term forecasts and give a contribution to exploring the best performances of the Thief-MLP Hybrid method.



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